GOLD : Correction to Continue or End ?

(Tue, 20 Oct 2020). The bull market in gold has been in correction mode since it peaked in early August, and while it appears is a healthy retracement at this juncture, it is unclear just how much longer it will last. It could just as easily continue to go on as it could be nearing its end.

This is where the short-term charts comes into play. Off the September low price has been channeling higher in a fashion that hasn’t invoked much confidence, and if the lower parallel were to break then another leg lower towards 1848 or worse looks probable.

This would off course mean the resumption of the longer-term trend will be on hold for a while longer, if it is to resume at all. For now, not a lot of reason to believe the longer-term trend won’t resume.

On the flip-side, the channeling price action has gold up against a solid trend-line dating back to the middle of August. A breakout above this trend-line will have price broken free from the near-term wedge on the 4-hr time-frame as well.

A break above 1933 will confirm the breakout and put gold in position to rally from the 2.5 month long corrective pattern. In the event we see a breakout it might not take long to see a rally back to 2075 and beyond.

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