USD : Technical Outlook against SEA Currency
(Fri, 8 Jan 2021).
SINGAPORE DOLLAR TECHNICAL OUTLOOK
The US Dollar may be trying to set the stage for a comeback against the Singapore Dollar. USD/SGD is pressuring resistance of a bullish Falling Wedge chart pattern. A daily close above it, with confirmation, could open the door to extending gains. Such an outcome may place the focus on December highs. However, beyond that, falling resistance from June could maintain the broader downtrend. Resuming losses would place the focus on lows from 2018, highlighting support between 1.3010 and 1.3065.
NEW TAIWAN DOLLAR TECHNICAL OUTLOOK
The New Taiwan Dollar is also trading within a bullish Falling Wedge against the US Dollar. Overall, USD/TWD remains in a downtrend since August 2019. A climb above the Falling Wedge could place the focus on lows from 2011. Otherwise, downtrend resumption and break under the 78.6% Fibonacci extension at 27.9856 opens the door to testing the 100% level at 27.6090. Beyond that, the pair could face lows from 1996 to 1997.
THAI BAHT TECHNICAL OUTLOOK
Thailand’s Baht is trading within a neutral Symmetrical Triangle, which is typically a continuation pattern. As such, if USD/THB breaks lower, it could surpass the 2020 low at 29.72. However, a breakout above it may open the door to reversing recent losses. That may place the focus on the 61.8% Fibonacci extension at 30.3482, where beyond that sits the June low at 30.7450. Otherwise, taking out 29.72 exposes the 100% level at 29.4180.
INDONESIAN RUPIAH TECHNICAL OUTLOOK
The Indonesian Rupiah is flirting with attempting to maintain its highest price against the US Dollar since February 2020. All eyes ate on June lows (13935 – 14012) to see if support holds. Positive RSI divergence does show that downside momentum is fading which can at times precede a turn higher. That may place the focus on falling resistance from late September. Otherwise, USD/IDR may extend losses towards the 2020 low at 13560.
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